Publications

Publications under development

Swanson, K.L. and A.A. Tsonis, 2015: Oceanic signature of increasing absorbed solar radiation. TBD, XX, (to be submitted).

Swanson, K.L. and Z. Uttech, 2015: Wave-like and turbulent paradigms of storm track organization. TBD, XX, (to be submitted).

Kopacz, D. and K.L. Swanson, 2015: Dynamical markers of sea ice collapse. TBD, XX, (to be submitted).

Swanson, K.L. and J. Duggan, 2015: Tropical cyclone intensity evolution as a correlated random walk. TBD, XX, (to be submitted).

Swanson, K.L. and J. Verbeten, 2015: Synchronization, mode dominance, and decadal temperature evolution in the Northern Hemisphere. TBD, XX, (to be submitted).

Peer-reviewed publications

Deyle, E.R., Tsonis, A.A., Sugihara, G., Swanson, K.L., Verbeten, J.D., and Wang, G., 2014: Quantitative evidence for causality between galactic cosmic rays and global temperature. Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci., xX, (in press).

Swanson, K.L., 2013: Emerging selection bias in large-scale climate change simulations. Geophysical Research Letters, 40, DOI: 10.1002/grl.50562. [PDF]

Wang, G., P. Yang, X. Zhou, K.L. Swanson and A.A. Tsonis, 2012: Directional influences on global temperature prediction. Geophysical Research Letters, 39, L13704. [PDF]

Tsonis, A.A. and K.L. Swanson, 2012: On the origins of decadal climate variability: A network perspective. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 19, 559-568. [PDF]

Tsonis, A.A. and K.L. Swanson, 2011: Climate mode covariability and climate shifts. Intl. J. Bif. Chaos, 21, 3549.

Tsonis, A.A., K.L. Swanson, G. Sugihara and P.A. Tsonis, 2010: Climate change and the demise of Minoan civilization. Climate of the Past, 6, 525-530. [PDF]

Swanson, K.L., A.A. Tsonis, and G. Sugihara, 2009: Long-term natural variability and 20th century climate change. Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci., 106, 16120-1623 doi: 10.1073/pnas.0908699106. [PDF]

Swanson, K. L. and A.A. Tsonis, 2009: Has the climate recently shifted? Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, doi:10.1029/2008GL037022 [PDF]

Wang, G., A.A. Tsonis, and K.L. Swanson, 2009: The pacemaker of climate shifts. Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, doi:10.1029/2008GL036784

Swanson, K. L., 2008: False causality between Atlantic hurricane activity fluctuations and seasonal lower atmospheric wind anomalies. Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L18807 doi:10.1029/2008GL034469 [PDF]

Vecchi, G.A., K.L. Swanson, and B.J. Soden, 2008: Whither hurricane activity?. Science, 322, 687-689. [PDF]

Swanson, K.L., 2008: Co-existing turbulent attractors in a two-layer quasi-geostrophic model. J. Atmos. Sci., 65, 2993-3001. [PDF]

Swanson, K.L. and P.J. Roebber, 2008: The impact of analysis error on medium-range weather forecasts. Mon. Wea. Rev., 136, 3425-3431. [PDF]

Roebber, P.J., K. L. Swanson, and J. Ghorai, 2008: Synoptic control of mesoscale precipitating systems in the Pacific Northwest. Mon. Wea. Rev., 136, 3465-3476. [PDF]

Tsonis, A.A. and K.L. Swanson, 2008: Topology and predictability of El Nino and La Nina networks. Phys. Rev. Lett., doi:10.1103/PhysRevLett.100.228502

Tsonis, A.A., K.L. Swanson, and G. Wang, 2008: Estimating the clustering coefficient in scale-free networks on lattices with local spatial correlation structure. Physica A, in press

Swanson, K. L., 2008: Non-locality of Atlantic tropical cyclone intensities. Geochem. Geophys. Geosys., doi:10.1029/2007GC001844 [PDF]

Tsonis, A.A., K.L. Swanson, and G. Wang, 2008: On the role of atmospheric teleconnections in climate. J. Climate, 21, 2990-3001. [PDF]

Swanson, K. L., 2007: The impact of scaling behavior on tropical cyclones intensities. Geophys. Res. Lett., oi:10.1029/2007GL030851 [PDF]

Tsonis, A.A., K.L. Swanson, and S. Kravtsov, 2007: A new dynamical mechanism for major climate shifts. Geophys. Res. Lett., doi:10.1029/2007GL030288 [PDF]

Swanson, K. L., 2007: Storm track dynamics. In General Circulation of the Atmosphere, T. Schneider and A. Sobel, eds. Princeton University Press. [PDF]

Tsonis, A.A., K.L. Swanson, and P.J. Roebber, 2006: What do networks have to do with climate? Bull. Am. Met. Soc., 87, 585-595. [PDF]

Panayatova, I. and K.L. Swanson, 2006: Edge wave asymmetries. J. Atmos. Sci., 63, 1357-1364. [PDF]

Swanson, K.L., 2002: Dynamical aspects of extra-tropical low frequency variability. J. Climate, 15, 2145-2162. [PDF]

Chang, E.K.M., S. Lee, and K.L. Swanson, 2002: Storm track dynamics. J. Climate, 15, 2163-2183. [PDF]

Swanson, K.L., 2001: Upper tropospheric PV fluctuations, the tropopause, and the dynamical relevance of the time mean. J. Atmos. Sci., 58, 1815-1826 [PDF]

Swanson, K.L., 2001: Blocking as a local instability to zonally varying flow. Q. J. Roy. Met. Soc., 127, 1341-1356. [Online Version]

Swanson, K.L., 2000: Stationary wave accumulation and the generation of low-frequency variability on zonally varying flows. J. Atmos. Sci., 57, 2262-2280. [PDF]

Swanson, K.L., T.N. Palmer, and R. Vautard, 2000: Observational error structure and the power of four-dimensional variational assimilation. J. Atmos. Sci., 57, 1327-1340. [PDF]

Swanson, K. L., 1999: Extra-tropical Atmospheric Circulations In Handbook for Weather, Climate, and Water. T. Potter and B. Colman, eds. McGraw-Hill.

Swanson, K.L., R. Vautard, and C. Pires, 1998: Four-dimensional variational assimilation and predictability in a quasi-geostrophic model Tellus, 50A, 369-390.

Swanson, K.L., P.J. Kushner, and I.M. Held, 1997: Dynamics of barotropic storm tracks. J. Atmos. Sci., 54, 791-810. [PDF]

Swanson, K.L. and R.T. Pierrehumbert, 1997: Lower-tropospheric heat transport in the Pacific storm track. J. Atmos. Sci., 54, 1533-1543. [PDF]

Mu, M., T.G. Shepherd, and K.L. Swanson, 1996: On nonlinear symmetric stability and the nonlinear saturation of symmetric instability. J. Atmos. Sci., 53, 2918-2923. [PDF]

Swanson, K.L. and R.T. Pierrehumbert, 1995: Stationary Rossby wave external modes in a homogenized potential vorticity atmosphere. J. Atmos. Sci., 52, 990-994. [PDF]

Pierrehumbert, R.T. and K. L. Swanson, 1995: Baroclinic instability. Ann. Rev. Fluid Mech.,, 27, 419-467.

Held, I.M., R.T. Pierrehumbert, S.T. Garner, and K.L. Swanson, 1995: Surface quasi-geostrophic dynamics. J. Fluid Mech., 282, 1-20.

Pierrehumbert, R.T., I.M. Held, and K.L. Swanson, 1994: Spectra of local and nonlocal two-dimensional turbulence. Chaos, Solitons, and Fractals. 4, 1111-1116.

Swanson, K.L. and R.T. Pierrehumbert, 1994: Nonlinear wave packet evolution on a baroclinically unstable jet. J. Atmos. Sci., 51, 384-396. [PDF]